The race is down to three teams, all who will cash in this year's Calcutta. The Tax Men (12 wins) have a slight lead over the Elders (11 wins) who rode the Michigan State Spartans into the Final Four with hopes of overtaking the front-runners. The Win-Docs (10 points) loom in third and can only tie for the title, and can do so via a Duke national championship over Kentucky.
Let's breakdown the scenarios from the most likely to the least likely based on Vegas and the likely favorites:
Scenario 1:
Kentucky and Duke advance to the title and Kentucky wins:
Tax Men (12)
Win-Docs (11)
Elders (11)
Scenario 2:
Kentucky and Duke advance and Duke wins:
Tax Men (12)
Win-Docs (12)
Elders (11)
Scenario 3:
Kentucky and Michigan State advance, and Kentucky wins:
Tax Men (12)
Elders (12)
Win-Docs (10)
Scenario 4:
Kentucky and Michigan State advance, and Michigan State wins
Elders (13)
Tax Men (12)
Win-Docs (10)
Scenario 5:
Wisconsin and Duke advance, and Wisconsin wins:
Tax Men (14)
Elders (11)
Win-Docs (11)
Scenario 6:
Wisconsin and Duke advance, and Duke wins:
Tax Men (13)
Win-Docs (12)
Elders (11)
Scenario 7:
Wisconsin and Michigan State advance, and Wisconsin wins:
Tax Men (14)
Elders (12)
Win-Docs (10)
Scenario 8:
Wisconsin and Michigan State advance, and Michigan State wins:
Tax Men (13)
Elders (13)
Win-Docs (10)
So basically the Tax Men can claim (4 scenarios) or tie for (3 scenarios) a Calcutta title in all but one scenario (a Michigan State title win over Kentucky), so they're looking pretty good heading into Indy, but congrats to all three teams for having a shot at the title on the final weekend and good luck.
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